S&P Momentum Model

2025-07-10 16:00:00
UPRO: 0.83%, Vol: 53%, Momentum: 44 Nd, Force: 34 N, Slope: -56 Nd, Phase: 90°
Decision-Tree: HOLD (17.5%), APR: 49.14%, 20 transactions at 2.46% per, B&H APR: 13.75%
Ensemble: (-HOLD-SELL-SELL-NO-SELL-NO-NO-NO-NO-BUY-NO-NO-NO))
LLM: 70% confidence, 32.14% trading profit
2025-07-10 16:00:00
SPXU: -0.86%, Vol: 129%, Momentum: -111 Nd, Force: -293 N, Slope: 103 Nd, Phase: 270°
Decision-Tree: HOLD (-0.06%), APR: 45.48%, 7 transactions at 6.5% per, B&H APR: -39.05%
Ensemble: (-HOLD-BUY-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD))
LLM: 30% confidence, 32.14% trading profit

S&P Market Analytics
by Generative AI

🚨 Market Sentiment Rating: **8** 📊 Number of Headlines Analyzed: **82** Date Range: July 2 - July 11, 2025 Key Events and Trends: * Nvidia's surge to $4 trillion market cap boosts tech stocks. * S&P 500 notches a new all-time closing high despite Trump tariffs. * Tariff tensions ease, with investors focusing on AI stocks. Important Outputs: * UPRO Momentum-Model Output: Price up 0.8%, Volatility 53% of average, Decision-Tree HOLD. * SPXU Momentum-Model Output: Price down -0.9%, Volatility 129% of average, Decision-Tree HOLD. Trade Results Summary: Our last simulated trade on 2025-07-10 for UPRO at 70.0% confidence-level resulted in a 0.83% market gain with a total market gain of 32.14% over 48 trading sessions since 2025-05-01. Decision-Tree summary: HOLD a position in UPRO. HOLD a position in SPXU. Justification: Based on the analysis, I recommend holding a position in UPRO due to its positive momentum model output and Nvidia's surge to milestone. The S&P 500 notched a new all-time closing high, indicating a strong trend for tech stocks. New or Critically Important Self-Learning Feedback (SLF) to retain: * **Market Sentiment Can Quickly Change Due to News Headlines**: Market sentiment can change rapidly due to news headlines. * **Tech Stocks Remain Strong**: Nvidia's surge to milestone boosts tech stocks, including UPRO. * **Tariffs Tensions Ease**: Tariff tensions ease with investors focusing on AI stocks. Recommendation: I recommend **UPRO at 70% confidence** 💻. (2025-07-11 00:49:45:496). 3xSP.com

Meta AI Llama 3.1: UPRO 23 (65.7%), SPXU 12 (34.3%).

Updated 2025-07-11 08:32:17 ET

Agent Results
DateSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-05-01 23:38:05UPRO62.0%4.34%
2025-05-04 20:42:33UPRO65.0%-1.64%
2025-05-06 04:53:24UPRO58.0%-2.54%
2025-05-07 02:35:53UPRO42.0%1.26%
2025-05-08 01:45:40UPRO40.0%1.95%
2025-05-09 02:37:34UPRO62.0%-0.45%
2025-05-12 04:07:27UPRO62.0%9.81%
2025-05-13 01:19:35UPRO72.0%2.03%
2025-05-14 02:02:00UPRO81.0%0.34%
2025-05-15 02:11:41UPRO75.0%1.43%
2025-05-16 02:54:14UPRO62.0%1.87%
2025-05-19 04:46:06UPRO62.0%0.32%
2025-05-20 01:00:17UPRO65.0%-1.09%
2025-05-21 02:50:09UPRO62.0%-5.01%
2025-05-22 03:41:42SPXU68.0%0.05%
2025-05-23 02:35:59SPXU72.0%2.13%
2025-05-25 16:19:38NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-05-28 00:46:20UPRO85.0%-1.73%
2025-05-29 03:50:06UPRO70.0%1.12%
2025-05-30 02:34:50UPRO80.0%-0.35%
2025-06-01 01:03:44NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-06-03 02:53:09UPRO70.0%1.78%
2025-06-04 03:51:59UPRO75.0%-0.16%
2025-06-05 03:01:41UPRO62.0%-1.51%
2025-06-06 01:24:07UPRO60.0%2.98%
2025-06-07 16:18:47UPRO85.0%0.24%
2025-06-10 04:46:53UPRO75.0%1.73%
2025-06-10 22:01:33UPRO80.0%-0.87%
2025-06-12 01:06:28UPRO80.0%1.14%
2025-06-13 00:17:49SPXU70.0%3.5%
2025-06-16 06:24:56SPXU60.0%-2.91%
2025-06-16 19:09:56UPRO80.0%-2.62%
2025-06-18 00:53:45NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-06-19 21:54:07UPRO20.0%-0.87%
2025-06-23 03:14:09UPRO40.0%2.97%
2025-06-24 03:17:05UPRO60.0%3.3%
2025-06-25 03:55:43UPRO75.0%-0.07%
2025-06-26 00:02:31UPRO80.0%2.27%
2025-06-26 04:18:48UPRO75.0%2.27%
2025-06-27 03:09:11UPRO85.0%1.35%
2025-06-30 05:43:40UPRO85.0%1.46%
2025-07-01 03:50:33UPRO88.0%-0.2%
2025-07-01 22:39:29UPRO90.0%1.33%
2025-07-03 04:08:53UPRO88.0%2.3%
2025-07-07 03:02:50UPRO85.0%-2.24%
2025-07-08 02:36:34SPXU65.0%0.3%
2025-07-09 02:01:49NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-07-10 03:06:55UPRO70.0%0.83%
2025-07-11 00:49:45UPRO70.0%0.0%
Inter-day, no stop-loss TOTAL32.14%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. UPRO: ProShares UltraPro® S&P500 (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times (3x) the daily performance of the S&P 500®.
  2. SPXU: ProShares UltraPro® Short S&P500 (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the S&P 500®.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

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