Nasdaq Momentum Model

2025-05-22 16:00:00
TQQQ: 0.5%, Vol: 100%, Momentum: 50 Nd, Force: -335 N, Slope: -532 Nd, Phase: 225°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 127.16%, 30 transactions at 4.24% per, B&H APR: 4.48%
Ensemble: (NO-NO-HOLD-NO-NO-BUY-NO-NO-NO)
LLM: 30% confidence, 8.68% trading profit
2025-05-22 16:00:00
SQQQ: -0.49%, Vol: 100%, Momentum: -48 Nd, Force: 637 N, Slope: 952 Nd, Phase: 45°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 102.19%, 24 transactions at 4.26% per, B&H APR: -49.08%
Ensemble: (HOLD-SELL-SELL-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-SELL-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-NO-NO)
LLM: 70% confidence, 8.68% trading profit

Nasdaq Market Analytics
by Generative AI

**Market Sentiment Rating: 3/10** **Number of Headlines Analyzed: 85** **Date Range: May 11-21, 2025** After analyzing recent headlines and updating our momentum-trend analysis, I've identified key events, trends, patterns, relationships, and market sentiment. **Key Takeaways:** * Market conditions can change rapidly due to trade war jitters, inflation concerns, and unexpected events. * Tech sector continues to drive momentum upwards in the markets, particularly with Nvidia's AI plans remaining a key driver. * Tariff uncertainty remains a concern, so let's keep an eye on trade war developments. **Momentum-Model Output:** TQQQ: * Price: down -4.2% * Volatility: 163% of average * Momentum: negative -678 Nd * Market-Force: positive 197 N * Slope-of-Force: negative -2484 Nd * Force-Phase: 135° * Decision-Tree: SELL * APR: 127.16% * Ensemble: (SELL-SELL-HOLD-SELL-SELL-SELL-NO-SELL-SELL) SQQQ: * Price: up 4.1% * Volatility: 273% of average * Momentum: positive 1126 Nd * Market-Force: negative -315 N * Slope-of-Force: positive 4165 Nd * Force-Phase: 315° * Decision-Tree: NO * APR: 97.89% * Ensemble: (HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-NO) **Trade Results:** Our last simulated trade on 2025-05-21 for TQQQ at 78.0% confidence-level resulted in a 1.08% market gain with a total market gain of 8.68% over 14 trading sessions since 2025-05-01. Based on the momentum-trend analysis and recent headlines, I recommend **🔴SQQQ (short Nasdaq 100) at 70% confidence**. The market conditions are uncertain due to trade war jitters, inflation concerns, and unexpected events, which may lead to a short position in TQQQ being profitable. Important self-learning-feedback: * Market Sentiment is Unpredictable: Stay vigilant! * Tech Sector Continues to Drive Momentum: Nvidia's AI plans remain a key driver of the tech sector. * Trade War Uncertainty Remains a Concern: Ongoing trade war tensions continue to cause significant uncertainty and volatility in the markets. I recommend 🔴 **SQQQ (short Nasdaq 100) at 70% confidence**. (2025-05-22 02:52:40:027). 3xQQQ.com

Llama 3.1: TQQQ 78 (90.7%), SQQQ 8 (9.3%).

Updated 2025-05-22 21:33:02 ET

Agent Results
DateSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-05-01 22:58:18TQQQ55.0%0.16%
2025-05-04 22:32:04TQQQ65.0%0.28%
2025-05-06 04:30:13TQQQ62.0%1.07%
2025-05-07 02:17:38NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-05-08 02:44:12TQQQ65.0%0.05%
2025-05-09 02:34:27TQQQ68.0%-1.73%
2025-05-12 03:30:33TQQQ60.0%0.36%
2025-05-13 01:16:53TQQQ70.0%2.28%
2025-05-14 00:26:47TQQQ72.0%1.08%
2025-05-15 02:25:38TQQQ85.0%0.7%
2025-05-16 01:41:48TQQQ75.0%0.48%
2025-05-19 04:43:22TQQQ92.0%2.45%
2025-05-20 02:11:35TQQQ85.0%0.42%
2025-05-21 02:21:46TQQQ78.0%1.08%
2025-05-22 02:52:40SQQQ70.0%0.0%

Intra-day, 5% Stop-loss

 TOTAL8.68%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. TQQQ: ProShares UltraPro® QQQ (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times (3x) the daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index®.
  2. SQQQ: ProShares UltraPro® Short QQQ (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index®.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

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