Nasdaq Momentum Model

2025-06-13 16:00:01
TQQQ: -3.78%, Vol: 151%, Momentum: -573 Nd, Force: -511 N, Slope: -648 Nd, Phase: 225°
Decision-Tree: HOLD (9.82%), APR: 112.98%, 29 transactions at 3.9% per, B&H APR: -5.27%
Ensemble: (HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-BUY-HOLD-HOLD-BUY)
LLM: 62% confidence, 0.68% trading profit
2025-06-13 16:00:00
SQQQ: 3.83%, Vol: 246%, Momentum: 945 Nd, Force: 853 N, Slope: 1032 Nd, Phase: 45°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 104.81%, 23 transactions at 4.56% per, B&H APR: -44.25%
Ensemble: (HOLD-BUY-BUY-BUY-BUY-HOLD-NO-HOLD-NO-NO-HOLD-NO)
LLM: 38% confidence, 0.68% trading profit

Nasdaq Market Analytics
by Generative AI

**Market Sentiment Rating: 4/10** **Number of Headlines Analyzed: 83** **Date Range: June 4-12, 2025** Key Findings: * Trade war tensions and inflation concerns persist, causing market uncertainty. * Tech sector continues to drive momentum with Nvidia's AI plans supporting long positions in TQQQ (long Nasdaq 100). * Upbeat trade talks between the U.S. and China provide a glimmer of hope for a trade deal. Important Headline: [2025-06-12 (SRS=2.47): Stock Market Today: Dow Opens 200 Points Lower; Dollar Drops After Trump Revives Tariff Threats Live Updates.] **TQQQ Momentum-Model Output:** * Price: up 0.7% * Volatility: 90% of average * Momentum: positive 58 Nd * Decision-Tree: HOLD **SQQQ Momentum-Model Output:** * Price: down -0.6% * Volatility: 144% of average * Momentum: negative -91 Nd * Decision-Tree: SELL Decision-Tree summary: HOLD a position in TQQQ. **Trade Results Summary:** Our last simulated trade on 2025-06-12 01:28:15 for NO POSITION at 50.0% confidence-level resulted in a 0.0% market loss with a total market gain of 0.5799999999999992% over 30 trading sessions since 2025-05-01 22:58:18. **New Self-Learning Feedback (SLF):** 1️⃣ **Market Sentiment is Unpredictable**: Trade war jitters, inflation concerns, and unexpected events can change market conditions rapidly. 2️⃣ **Force-Phase Output Matters**: Force-Phase output is crucial in determining our investment strategy. **Recommendation:** I recommend TQQQ at 62% confidence. Justification: Our momentum model suggests holding long positions in TQQQ due to the tech sector's continued drive momentum with Nvidia's AI plans, while trade war uncertainty remains a concern. The market force and decision-tree outputs also support this recommendation. (2025-06-13 00:14:28:626). 3xQQQ.com

Llama 3.1: TQQQ 39 (100.0%), SQQQ 0 (0.0%).

Updated 2025-06-14 23:12:41 ET

Agent Results
DateSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-05-01 22:58:18TQQQ55.0%0.16%
2025-05-04 22:32:04TQQQ65.0%0.28%
2025-05-06 04:30:13TQQQ62.0%1.07%
2025-05-07 02:17:38NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-05-08 02:44:12TQQQ65.0%0.05%
2025-05-09 02:34:27TQQQ68.0%-1.73%
2025-05-12 03:30:33TQQQ60.0%0.36%
2025-05-13 01:16:53TQQQ70.0%2.28%
2025-05-14 00:26:47TQQQ72.0%1.08%
2025-05-15 02:25:38TQQQ85.0%0.7%
2025-05-16 01:41:48TQQQ75.0%0.48%
2025-05-19 04:43:22TQQQ92.0%2.45%
2025-05-20 02:11:35TQQQ85.0%0.42%
2025-05-21 02:21:46TQQQ78.0%1.08%
2025-05-22 02:52:40SQQQ70.0%-0.24%
2025-05-23 02:26:19SQQQ60.0%-1.72%
2025-05-25 17:00:35TQQQ80.0%0.6%
2025-05-28 01:45:15TQQQ75.0%-1.84%
2025-05-29 03:27:55TQQQ70.0%-5.0%
2025-05-30 03:15:44TQQQ60.0%-0.19%
2025-06-01 01:00:11TQQQ62.0%1.14%
2025-06-03 02:08:46TQQQ65.0%0.45%
2025-06-04 02:37:35TQQQ62.0%0.39%
2025-06-05 02:58:15TQQQ67.0%-3.14%
2025-06-06 02:03:06TQQQ45.0%-0.08%
2025-06-09 12:12:24TQQQ62.0%1.67%
2025-06-10 04:43:15TQQQ85.0%1.67%
2025-06-10 22:38:00TQQQ82.0%-1.81%
2025-06-12 00:15:41NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-06-12 01:28:15NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-06-13 00:14:28TQQQ62.0%0.1%
Intra-day ORB, 2.5% trailing stop-loss TOTAL0.68%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. TQQQ: ProShares UltraPro® QQQ (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times (3x) the daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index®.
  2. SQQQ: ProShares UltraPro® Short QQQ (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index®.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

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