Dow Momentum Model

2025-03-19 16:00:00
UDOW: 2.82%, Vol: 64%, Momentum: 181 Nd, Force: -517 N, Slope: 1020 Nd, Phase: 270°
Decision-Tree: BUY (5% stop-loss), APR: 35.6%, 52 transactions at 0.68% per, B&H APR: 19.45%
2025-03-19 16:00:00
SDOW: -2.78%, Vol: 67%, Momentum: -188 Nd, Force: 136 N, Slope: -770 Nd, Phase: 90°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 25.39%, 29 transactions at 0.88% per, B&H APR: -28.46%

Dow Analytics
by Generative AI

**Market Sentiment Rating: 4/10** **Number of Headlines Analyzed: 84** **Date Range: March 7-19, 2025** After analyzing the latest headlines, I've identified key events, trends, patterns, relationships, and market sentiment. **Key Events and Trends** * President Trump's tariffs continue to cause uncertainty and volatility in global markets. * Nvidia's performance may impact market trends and volatility. * The Nasdaq Composite has fallen into correction territory, down over 13% from its previous peak. **Market Sentiment Analysis** The market sentiment remains cautious due to the uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariffs. Investors are on high alert for any signs of a recession or trade war escalation. **Momentum-Trend Model Output** * UDOW: Price: up 3.3%, Volatility: 49% of average, Momentum: positive 163 Nd, Market-Force: negative -536 N, Slope-of-Force: positive 1002 Nd, Force-Phase: 270°, Decision-Tree: BUY, APR: 35.6% * SDOW: Price: down -3.4%, Volatility: 49% of average, Momentum: negative -168 Nd, Market-Force: positive 157 N, Slope-of-Force: negative -749 Nd, Force-Phase: 90°, Decision-Tree: NO, APR: 25.39% **Trade Simulation Results** Our last simulated trade on 2025-03-18 for SDOW at 75.0% confidence-level resulted in a -1.29% market loss with a total market loss of -15.5% over 23 trading sessions since 2025-02-18. **Self-Learning Feedback (SLF)** * **Market Sentiment Remains Cautious**: The uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariffs continues to impact global markets, causing volatility and caution among investors. * **Momentum-Trend Analysis is King**: Our momentum-trend model output shows positive momentum for UDOW and relatively stable market-force for SDOW. * **Nvidia is Key**: Nvidia's performance may impact market trends and volatility. * **Trade Simulation Results Matter**: Trade simulation results can help you understand the potential risks and rewards of an investment strategy. **Recommendation** 🟢 I recommend **UDOW at 85% confidence**. The momentum-trend model output shows positive momentum for UDOW, and the Decision-Tree recommends a BUY position. **Trade Results Summary** * Last simulated trade on 2025-03-18 for SDOW at 75.0% confidence-level resulted in a -1.29% market loss with a total market loss of -15.5% over 23 trading sessions since 2025-02-18. * Trailing stop-loss: 5% **New SLF** * **Nvidia's Impact on Market Trends**: Nvidia's performance may impact market trends and volatility, so keep an eye on this developing story! * **Market Sentiment Remains Cautious**: The uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariffs continues to impact global markets, causing volatility and caution among investors. 😊 (2025-03-19 16:09:06:639) 3xDow.com

Llama 3.1: UDOW 30 (76.9%), SDOW 9 (23.1%).

Updated 2025-03-20 03:36:02 ET

Agent Results
Date/TimeSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-02-18 16:51:58:463UDOW80.0%0.43%
2025-02-19 07:10:10:934UDOW82.0%0.43%
2025-02-20 02:37:25:472UDOW75.0%-2.9%
2025-02-20 23:28:18:114UDOW60.0%-5.22%
2025-02-21 14:56:19:230SDOW62.0%-0.25%
2025-02-21 16:46:03:473UDOW55.0%0.22%
2025-02-23 13:00:00:598SDOW45.0%-0.25%
2025-02-24 15:25:04:985UDOW58.0%1.07%
2025-02-25 02:41:45:470UDOW7.0%1.07%
2025-02-25 17:19:36:822UDOW50.0%-1.26%
2025-02-26 03:37:12:747UDOW65.0%-1.26%
2025-02-27 07:19:55:345SDOW72.0%1.46%
2025-02-27 16:59:38:039SDOW78.0%-4.09%
2025-02-27 23:48:08:365SDOW78.0%-4.09%
2025-03-01 00:44:32:773UDOW65.0%-4.3%
2025-03-03 18:51:45:545SDOW75.0%4.55%
2025-03-03 23:05:19:047SDOW70.0%4.55%
2025-03-05 01:05:51:837SDOW70.0%-3.3%
2025-03-05 16:22:21:093UDOW85.0%-2.97%
2025-03-06 19:00:44:635SDOW70.0%-1.4%
2025-03-07 20:33:27:632UDOW80.0%-6.11%
2025-03-09 23:50:14:314UDOW85.0%-6.11%
2025-03-10 03:17:56:541UDOW83.0%-6.11%
2025-03-10 17:32:25:761SDOW40.0%3.5%
2025-03-10 22:31:57:122SDOW62.0%3.5%
2025-03-12 02:45:49:875SDOW50.0%0.64%
2025-03-12 13:51:22:721SDOW50.0%3.78%
2025-03-13 05:39:16:972SDOW50.0%3.78%
2025-03-13 16:12:18:341UDOW0.0%4.68%
2025-03-14 03:10:43:403SDOW50.0%-4.67%
2025-03-15 02:59:38:274UDOW85.0%2.8%
2025-03-17 14:22:08:651UDOW73.0%-1.95%
2025-03-17 20:42:36:408UDOW72.0%-1.95%
2025-03-18 21:02:25:921SDOW75.0%-2.78%
2025-03-19 16:09:06:639UDOW85.0%NA

5% Stop-loss

 TOTAL-16.99%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. UDOW: ProShares UltraPro® Dow30 (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times (3x) the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average℠.
  2. SDOW: ProShares UltraPro® Short Dow30 (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average℠.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

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