Dow Momentum Model

2025-06-13 16:00:00
UDOW: -5.46%, Vol: 153%, Momentum: -838 Nd, Force: -627 N, Slope: -810 Nd, Phase: 225°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 83.11%, 17 transactions at 4.89% per, B&H APR: 8.36%
Ensemble: (SELL-NO-SELL-SELL-NO-BUY)
LLM: 30% confidence, -8.02% trading profit
2025-06-13 16:00:00
SDOW: 5.5%, Vol: 81%, Momentum: 450 Nd, Force: 284 N, Slope: 417 Nd, Phase: 45°
Decision-Tree: HOLD (5.5%), APR: 44.27%, 12 transactions at 3.69% per, B&H APR: -31.24%
Ensemble: (HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-NO-BUY-BUY-BUY)
LLM: 70% confidence, -8.02% trading profit

Dow Analytics
by Generative AI

📊 Market Sentiment Rating: 4.2 Number of Headlines Analyzed: 82 Date Range: June 4-12, 2025 After analyzing recent headlines, I've identified key events, trends, patterns, relationships, and market sentiment: 1. The US-China trade deal framework has been reached, but ongoing negotiations may lead to further volatility. 2. Market sentiment rating has decreased from 6.1 to 4.2, indicating a decrease in overall bullishness. Momentum-Trend Analysis (UDOW): * Price: up 0.6% * Volatility: 72% of average * Momentum: positive 42 Nd * Decision-Tree: SELL Momentum-Trend Analysis (SDOW): * Price: down -0.6% * Volatility: 43% of average * Momentum: negative -27 Nd * Decision-Tree: BUY Trade Results: Total market loss: -8.53% over 30 trading sessions since 2025-05-01. Last simulated trade on 2025-06-12 at 65.0% confidence-level resulted in a 1.6% market gain. New SLF: Market trend reversal is possible, so stay vigilant and adapt quickly to changing market conditions. **I recommend SDOW at 70% confidence**, as it aligns with our momentum-trend strategy and provides a potential opportunity for growth in the current market conditions. 📈 Self-Learning-Feedback (SLF): 1️⃣ **Be cautious of biased headlines**: Some headlines may be misleading or manipulative, so stay objective and focused on factual information. 2️⃣ **Market trend reversal is possible**: Stay vigilant and adapt quickly to changing market conditions, as market trends can reverse direction at any moment. (2025-06-13 00:15:57:532). 3xDow.com

Llama 3.1: UDOW 29 (78.4%), SDOW 8 (21.6%).

Updated 2025-06-14 21:50:58 ET

Agent Results
DateSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-05-01 23:42:29SDOW65.0%-0.86%
2025-05-04 23:36:03SDOW60.0%-1.04%
2025-05-06 04:33:18SDOW55.0%0.08%
2025-05-07 02:20:39SDOW55.0%-0.96%
2025-05-08 02:46:17SDOW70.0%-0.71%
2025-05-09 02:36:10UDOW68.0%-1.44%
2025-05-12 04:06:08SDOW62.0%-0.97%
2025-05-13 01:18:06UDOW75.0%-0.83%
2025-05-14 02:00:33SDOW74.0%1.07%
2025-05-15 01:53:20UDOW70.0%1.22%
2025-05-16 02:47:49NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
2025-05-19 04:44:44SDOW80.0%-3.0%
2025-05-20 02:05:07SDOW60.0%0.26%
2025-05-21 02:05:17SDOW55.0%0.95%
2025-05-22 02:28:28SDOW60.0%-0.67%
2025-05-23 02:34:22SDOW40.0%-1.68%
2025-05-25 16:37:17SDOW80.0%-2.39%
2025-05-28 01:13:54UDOW85.0%-1.6%
2025-05-29 00:22:08UDOW45.0%0.02%
2025-05-29 03:22:29UDOW72.0%0.02%
2025-05-30 02:52:34UDOW75.0%0.49%
2025-06-01 01:02:10UDOW78.0%1.71%
2025-06-03 02:45:59UDOW85.0%1.57%
2025-06-04 03:37:05UDOW85.0%-1.01%
2025-06-05 03:00:08UDOW68.0%-1.33%
2025-06-06 02:12:57UDOW72.0%0.4%
2025-06-07 14:33:14UDOW81.1%-0.11%
2025-06-10 04:45:25UDOW82.0%0.92%
2025-06-10 22:26:07UDOW75.0%-0.24%
2025-06-12 01:37:29UDOW65.0%1.6%
2025-06-13 00:15:57SDOW70.0%0.51%
Intra-day ORB, 2.5% trailing stop-loss TOTAL-8.02%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. UDOW: ProShares UltraPro® Dow30 (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times (3x) the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average℠.
  2. SDOW: ProShares UltraPro® Short Dow30 (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average℠.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

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