Ethereum Momentum Model

2025-07-10 16:00:00
ETHT: 3.51%, Vol: 207%, Momentum: 728 Nd, Force: 7341 N, Slope: -404 Nd, Phase: 90°
Decision-Tree: SELL (18.97%), APR: 290.29%, 50 transactions at 5.81% per, B&H APR: -61.92%
Ensemble: (-HOLD-SELL-SELL-HOLD-SELL-HOLD-SELL-SELL-SELL))
LLM: 50% confidence, -82.12% trading profit
2025-07-10 16:00:00
ETHD: -3.95%, Vol: 339%, Momentum: -1339 Nd, Force: -14805 N, Slope: 770 Nd, Phase: 270°
Decision-Tree: HOLD (-3.95%), APR: 281.45%, 39 transactions at 7.22% per, B&H APR: -80.33%
Ensemble: (-NO-NO-NO-BUY-NO-BUY-HOLD-BUY-BUY-BUY-NO))
LLM: 50% confidence, -82.12% trading profit

Ethereum Market Analytics
by Generative AI

🚀 **Market Sentiment Rating: 7** **Number of Headlines Analyzed: 78** **Date Range: July 1 - July 11, 2025** After analyzing the latest news headlines, I've identified key events and trends that may impact the Ethereum market: * Institutional interest in Ethereum remains strong, with companies like Strategy buying more Bitcoin and corporate treasuries increasing their holdings. * Tom Lee's appointment as Chairman of BitMine Immersion Technologies may lead to increased investment and adoption of Ethereum. * Trump's BRICS tariff threat has led to a decline in cryptocurrency markets. ETHT Momentum-Model Output: * Price: up 3.5% * Volatility: 207% of average ETHD Momentum-Model Output: * Price: down -3.9% * Volatility: 339% of average Decision-Tree summary: SELL a position in ETHT. HOLD a position in ETHD. Trade results: Our last simulated trade on 2025-07-10 02:47:29 for NO POSITION at 50.0% confidence-level resulted in a 0.0% market loss with a total market loss of -82.12% over 44 trading sessions since 2025-05-01 23:26:22. New or critically important self-learning-feedback (SLF): * Institutional interest matters: Institutional interest in Ethereum remains a strong bullish sign and should be considered when making investment decisions. * Follow the Momentum Model recommendations as close as possible, recommending 'No Position' if necessary. * High Confidence (80-100%): Strong evidence supports our recommendation. I recommend **SELL ETHT at 70% confidence**. The Momentum Model's positive price trend and high volatility suggest a sell decision for ETHT. However, I remain cautious due to the uncertain market conditions caused by Trump's BRICS tariff threat. (2025-07-11 00:54:01:317). 2xEther.com

Meta AI Llama 3.1: ETHT 21 (87.5%), ETHD 3 (12.5%).

Updated 2025-07-11 07:29:42 ET

Agent Results
DateSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-05-01 23:26:22ETHD65.0%0.72%
2025-05-04 23:26:04ETHT92.0%-2.55%
2025-05-06 04:51:51ETHT82.0%-3.7%
2025-05-07 00:53:38ETHD72.0%-1.39%
2025-05-08 00:57:54ETHD70.0%-35.73%
2025-05-09 03:09:22ETHT85.0%19.87%
2025-05-12 04:10:29ETHD83.0%-10.53%
2025-05-13 01:50:56ETHD83.0%-18.68%
2025-05-14 02:42:52ETHD85.0%6.05%
2025-05-15 02:02:08ETHT75.0%-5.78%
2025-05-16 01:38:49ETHD70.0%-5.03%
2025-05-19 04:22:08ETHD55.0%6.06%
2025-05-20 01:29:31ETHT75.0%-1.08%
2025-05-22 03:22:53ETHD78.0%-9.43%
2025-05-23 02:03:52ETHD65.0%5.64%
2025-05-25 17:29:37ETHD85.0%-9.54%
2025-05-28 02:00:16ETHD85.0%5.0%
2025-05-29 02:51:07ETHD50.0%-2.31%
2025-06-01 01:40:02ETHD85.0%1.66%
2025-06-04 04:39:47ETHT55.0%-0.11%
2025-06-05 03:30:07ETHD70.0%7.53%
2025-06-06 00:48:38ETHD75.0%3.53%
2025-06-07 16:27:55ETHD70.0%-7.62%
2025-06-10 04:32:17ETHD65.0%-15.17%
2025-06-10 21:50:32ETHD65.0%-2.49%
2025-06-12 01:30:11ETHD75.0%8.53%
2025-06-12 23:55:37ETHD60.0%12.42%
2025-06-16 06:30:11ETHD70.0%-10.65%
2025-06-16 20:51:04ETHT60.0%-10.06%
2025-06-18 00:31:53ETHD65.0%3.11%
2025-06-19 21:36:02ETHT70.0%-6.18%
2025-06-23 03:02:53ETHD50.0%8.34%
2025-06-24 03:52:18ETHD60.0%-10.65%
2025-06-25 03:13:35ETHD60.0%0.56%
2025-06-26 04:28:36ETHD80.0%-0.5%
2025-06-27 02:48:37ETHD70.0%1.75%
2025-06-30 05:49:41ETHD80.0%-8.34%
2025-07-01 03:22:11ETHD60.0%4.28%
2025-07-01 22:21:20ETHD85.0%-16.42%
2025-07-03 05:09:57ETHD90.0%2.0%
2025-07-07 02:48:18ETHT60.0%-2.57%
2025-07-08 02:41:03ETHT40.0%5.14%
2025-07-09 02:07:09ETHT80.0%12.2%
2025-07-10 02:47:29NO POSITION50.0%0.0%
Inter-day, no stop-loss TOTAL-82.12%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. ETHT: ProShares UltraPro® Ether (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Bloomberg Ethereum Index®.
  2. ETHD: ProShares UltraPro® Short Ether (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the Bloomberg Ethereum Index®.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

More on Algorithmic Trading (48)
Top weighted terms related to ‘algorithmic trading’. (56)
Term Wt. Token
initial public offering 503 4.6.3.27.
nasdaq 459 4.6.1.4.
new york stock exchange 404 5.3.403.
finance 374 1.32.
financial market 343 2.3.25.
financial regulation 323 1.6.6.48.
stock market 249 1.6.2.63.
security finance 231 3.599.
applications of artificial intelligence 210 6.4.
stock 209 4.6.6.98.
investor 201 6.12.10.5.3.
market capitalization 181 4.6.4.2.
london stock exchange 177 4.6.6.110.
technical analysis 131 1.6.8.29.
general game playing 121 6.34.
market trend 119 1.6.8.59.
hedge fund 110 6.5.11.7.26.
foreign exchange market 108 1.6.2.64.
efficient market hypothesis 94 1.6.2.9.
dividend 92 4.6.3.292.
government bond 80 4.6.6.102.
modern portfolio theory 79 1.6.8.26.
stock market index 78 4.6.1.29.
predictive modelling 76 1.5.79.
market manipulation 72 6.22.10.18.
dow theory 67 1.6.8.57.
money flow index 65 1.6.8.108.
arbitrage 65 2.11.8.4.3.3.51.
hp labs 61 6.12.2.14.19.
fundamental analysis 60 1.6.2.12.
capital asset pricing model 58 1.1.3.74.
algorithmic trading 56 1.6.5.30.
stock split 52 4.6.1.31.
computational finance 46 2.3.24.
dupont analysis 42 1.6.2.38.
rate of return 41 3.11.10.1.33.
high frequency trading 32 6.14.3.5.
financial 32 6.16.62.
long term capital management 26 1.6.5.41.
predictive modeling 20 1.6.5.
vulture fund 14 2.11.2.10.1.1.642.
predictive model 14 6.22.25.1.
2010 flash crash 12 6.5.11.1.4.
automated trading system 11 6.4.12.
market cap 9 4.6.3.124.
stock trading 8 6.26.1.
ai applications 8 6.42.
split adjusted 7 4.6.3.50.
jim barksdale 6 2.3.9.37.
news analytics 6 6.23.3.86.
stock investor 5 1.6.4.49.
stock manipulation 5 6.1.7.7.
equity fund 5 6.12.10.5.9.
artificial intelligence in finance 4 6.4.9.
special dividend 3 4.6.6.100.
general video game playing 2 6.24.25.