Bitcoin Momentum Model

2025-03-19 16:00:00
BITU: 7.61%, Vol: 120%, Momentum: 916 Nd, Force: 2804 N, Slope: 5610 Nd, Phase: 45°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 169.92%, 38 transactions at 4.47% per, B&H APR: 1.56%
2025-03-19 16:00:00
SBIT: -7.58%, Vol: 279%, Momentum: -2114 Nd, Force: -7822 N, Slope: -11974 Nd, Phase: 225°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 47.37%, 35 transactions at 1.35% per, B&H APR: -74.93%

Bitcoin Market Analytics
by Generative AI

**Market Sentiment Rating: 3/10** **Number of Headlines Analyzed: 75** **Date Range: March 9, 2025 - March 19, 2025** The recent headlines indicate a mixed sentiment in the crypto market, with some articles suggesting a potential bottom for Bitcoin and others warning of further declines. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains at 19 (out of 100), indicating extreme fear among market participants. **Momentum-Trend Analysis:** BITU Momentum-Model Output: Price: up 8.1% Volatility: 95% of average Momentum: positive 774 Nd Market-Force: positive 2663 N Slope-of-Force: positive 5468 Nd Force-Phase: 45° Decision-Tree: NO, APR: 169.92% SBIT Momentum-Model Output: Price: down -8.3% Volatility: 246% of average Momentum: negative -2051 Nd Market-Force: negative -7759 N Slope-of-Force: negative -11911 Nd Force-Phase: 225° Decision-Tree: NO, APR: 47.37% Given the APR results from the Decision-Tree output, no position is recommended in both BITU and SBIT. **Trade Results Summary:** Our last simulated trade on 2025-03-17 for BITU at 40.0% confidence-level resulted in a -5.0% market loss with a total market gain of 15.92% over 21 trading sessions since 2025-02-18. **Self-Learning Feedback (SLF):** 1️⃣ **Market Sentiment is Unpredictable**: Don't be surprised by sudden changes in market sentiment – it's like trying to predict the weather! Stay adaptable! 2️⃣ **Mixed Signals Require Caution**: When faced with conflicting trends or uncertain market conditions, err on the side of caution and don't rush into investments. Think before you invest! **Recommendation:** Given the mixed sentiment and conflicting trends, I recommend **No Position** at 40% confidence 🔴 (2025-03-19 15:34:24:504) 2xBitc.com

Llama 3.1: BITU 9 (90.0%), SBIT 1 (10.0%).

Updated 2025-03-20 03:16:34 ET

Agent Results
Date/TimeSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-02-18 16:01:10:057SBIT65.0%-4.26%
2025-02-19 07:43:51:199SBIT45.0%-4.26%
2025-02-19 20:17:13:742SBIT55.0%-5.02%
2025-02-20 02:43:10:880BITU65.0%4.96%
2025-02-21 00:31:37:155BITU80.0%-7.89%
2025-02-21 16:16:51:970BITU60.0%-1.63%
2025-02-23 15:18:21:968SBIT80.0%1.67%
2025-02-24 15:20:09:219SBIT50.0%12.47%
2025-02-25 05:07:18:984SBIT60.0%12.47%
2025-02-25 16:52:06:289SBIT65.0%8.5%
2025-02-26 03:21:02:328SBIT62.5%8.5%
2025-02-27 07:46:57:322SBIT82.5%2.54%
2025-02-27 16:14:10:145SBIT82.5%-2.18%
2025-02-27 23:07:22:179SBIT75.0%-2.18%
2025-03-01 01:31:31:097SBIT50.0%-4.09%
2025-03-03 19:12:47:196BITU85.0%1.93%
2025-03-03 23:10:05:544BITU72.0%1.93%
2025-03-04 15:58:17:673BITU65.0%8.32%
2025-03-05 00:46:14:386BITU85.0%8.32%
2025-03-05 15:02:58:703BITU90.0%-3.3%
2025-03-06 18:29:01:739BITU85.0%-4.83%
2025-03-07 21:21:16:935BITU80.0%-18.5%
2025-03-10 16:13:50:266BITU60.0%10.37%
2025-03-10 23:04:55:404BITU80.0%10.37%
2025-03-12 02:01:23:519BITU60.0%-0.46%
2025-03-12 14:19:29:294BITU55.0%-6.91%
2025-03-12 22:44:07:556BITU55.0%-6.91%
2025-03-13 16:04:46:392BITU55.0%11.3%
2025-03-14 21:18:54:646BITU40.0%-0.39%
2025-03-15 02:12:16:798BITU50.0%-0.39%
2025-03-17 13:37:39:603BITU45.0%-5.24%
2025-03-17 20:57:51:319BITU40.0%-5.24%

5% Stop-loss

 TOTAL15.92%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. BITU: ProShares UltraPro® Bitcoin (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index®.
  2. SBIT: ProShares UltraPro® Short Bitcoin (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index®.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

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