Bitcoin Momentum Model

2025-02-06 13:14:01
BITU: -2.01%, Force: -1964 N, Slope: -104 Nd, Momentum: -150 Nd, Phase: 5, Timing: 72%
2025-02-06 13:15:05
SBIT: 2.02%, Force: 1554 N, Slope: 159 Nd, Momentum: 211 Nd, Phase: 2, Timing: 33%

Bitcoin Market Analytics
by Generative AI

Market Sentiment Rating: 6/10 Number of Headlines Analyzed: 84 Date Range: February 3-5, 2025 Whoa, what a wild ride the crypto market has been on! Let's break down the latest headlines and analyze the key events, trends, patterns, relationships, and market sentiment. **Key Events, Trends, Patterns, Relationships, and Market Sentiment** 1. **Regulatory Rumble**: The US is considering a cryptocurrency working group, while India reviews its crypto position due to global changes. 2. **Institutional Investors Matter**: Institutional investors like BlackRock are making waves in the market. 3. **Trump Tango**: President Trump's tariff announcements continue to shake the market. **Recent Headlines Insights** * Many headlines focus on regulatory updates, institutional investor moves, and the impact of President Trump's tariff announcements. * The recent headline [2025-02-05 (SRS2.27): Strategy becomes Bitcoin's first treasury company] suggests that a leading Bitcoin treasury company is emphasizing bitcoin and AI for transformative business solutions. **Momentum Model Analysis** Our momentum model suggests that BITU has a higher probability of a positive trend-reversal compared to SBIT, but caution is still warranted due to high volatility. **Trade-Simulation Results** Our last simulated trade on 2025-02-05 02:31:56:252 for BITU at 68.0% confidence-level resulted in a -2.79% loss with a total loss of -7.46% over 11 trading sessions since 2025-01-19. Considering the mixed signals and uncertainty in the market, I recommend **BITU 🟢** at **62% confidence**. Our momentum model suggests that BITU may be due for a long opportunity, but keep in mind that caution is still warranted due to high volatility. This recommendation is based on our analysis of recent headlines, momentum model outputs, and trade-simulation results. We will continue to monitor market sentiment and adjust our strategy accordingly! (2025-02-06 03:33:43:513) 2xBitc.com

Llama 3.1: BITU 676 (42.3%), SBIT 924 (57.8%).

Updated 2025-02-06 13:16:21 ET

Agent Results
Date/TimeSymbolConfidenceResult
2025-01-19 00:47:57:032BITU85.0%2.42%
2025-01-21 15:03:16:168BITU85.0%-3.56%
2025-01-22 03:02:38:134BITU88.0%-3.56%
2025-01-22 05:58:54:757BITU89.0%-3.56%
2025-01-22 17:05:09:204BITU65.0%-2.07%
2025-01-23 05:35:10:431BITU65.0%-2.07%
2025-01-23 17:14:51:101SBIT75.0%-3.01%
2025-01-24 03:29:49:540SBIT70.0%-3.01%
2025-01-24 15:17:46:479BITU67.0%-6.56%
2025-01-26 23:33:56:802BITU79.0%-6.56%
2025-01-27 07:50:44:568BITU70.0%-6.56%
2025-01-27 17:13:58:782SBIT79.0%0.21%
2025-01-28 17:42:12:694BITU70.0%6.06%
2025-01-30 14:04:24:080BITU68.0%-6.67%
2025-01-31 04:04:20:602BITU68.0%-6.67%
2025-01-31 15:07:38:636SBIT60.0%0.42%
2025-02-01 02:49:00:243SBIT75.0%0.42%
2025-02-02 18:56:15:885SBIT65.0%0.42%
2025-02-03 02:01:07:966SBIT72.0%0.42%
2025-02-03 17:26:22:205SBIT65.0%5.01%
2025-02-03 23:19:32:816SBIT65.0%5.01%
2025-02-04 18:59:47:198SBIT55.0%3.08%
2025-02-05 02:31:56:252BITU68.0%-2.79%
  TOTAL-7.46%

Leveraged Pair Trade

The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.

Two highly correlated ETFs are used:

  1. BITU: ProShares UltraPro® Bitcoin (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index®.
  2. SBIT: ProShares UltraPro® Short Bitcoin (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index®.

Most day traders flop. These researchers say one popular strategy generated 46% per-year returns.

“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy.

“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”

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