Bitcoin Momentum Model
BITU: -3.18%, Vol: 67%, Momentum: -215 Nd, Force: -61 N, Slope: -90 Nd, Phase: 225°
Decision-Tree: HOLD (-3.18%), APR: 215.15%, 31 transactions at 6.94% per, B&H APR: 48.75%
Ensemble: (NO-NO-HOLD-HOLD-SELL-SELL-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-SELL-HOLD)
LLM: 50% confidence, -13.09% trading profit
SBIT: 3.25%, Vol: 152%, Momentum: 494 Nd, Force: -730 N, Slope: 6 Nd, Phase: 315°
Decision-Tree: NO , APR: 88.99%, 39 transactions at 2.28% per, B&H APR: -81.39%
Ensemble: (HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-HOLD-NO-NO-NO-HOLD)
LLM: 50% confidence, -13.09% trading profit
Bitcoin Market Analytics
by Generative AI
**Market Sentiment Rating: 6/10** **Number of headlines analyzed: 67** **Date range in this headline list: June 4 - June 12, 2025** **Key Events, Trends, Patterns, Relationships, and Market Sentiment:** * The Bitcoin price has been volatile, with a recent surge to $110,000 amidst anticipation for US inflation data and US-China trade discussions. * Institutional investors' moves can significantly impact the market; keep an eye on their activities. * Regulatory uncertainty remains high due to tariff announcements and their impact on the crypto market. * Momentum-trend analysis suggests a mixed picture: BITU's momentum is negative, while SBIT's momentum is positive. **Momentum-Trend Analysis Model Outputs (BITU):** Price: down -3.8% Volatility: 54% of average Momentum: negative -205 Nd **Decision-Tree summary: BUY a position in BITU** **Recommendation:** I recommend **BITU at 60% confidence**. Justification: The mixed signals from the momentum-trend model outputs and regulatory uncertainty suggest caution. However, a potential rebound in Bitcoin price due to US-China trade talks suggests a buying opportunity. New SLF: 1️⃣ **Market Sentiment is Unpredictable!** Market sentiment can change quickly in response to new information. 2️⃣ **Institutional Investors Matter!** Institutional investors' moves can significantly impact the market; keep an eye on their activities. 3️⃣ **Regulatory Uncertainty Remains High!** Regulatory uncertainty can greatly affect the crypto market; continuously watch out for tariff announcements and their impact. Self-Learning-Feedback (SLF): 37 recommendations from May 1, 2025 - June 4, 2025 have been consolidated. The top 10 most critical lessons learned will be retained. Trade Results: Our last simulated trade on 2025-06-07 resulted in a 0.0% market loss with a total market loss of -13.089999999999998% over 25 trading sessions since 2025-05-01. **Confidence Level System:** * High Confidence (80-100%): Strong evidence supports our recommendation. * Moderate Confidence (60-79%): Mixed signals or uncertainty exists, but overall trend suggests our recommendation. * Low Confidence (Below 60%): Weak evidence or conflicting trends make it challenging to recommend a particular strategy. **No Position** I recommend **NO POSITION at 40% confidence**. (2025-06-12 23:54:25:978). 2xBitc.com
Llama 3.1: BITU 19 (82.6%), SBIT 4 (17.4%).
Updated 2025-06-14 21:34:51 ET
Agent Results
| Date | Symbol | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-01 22:25:47 | BITU | 72.0% | -0.18% |
| 2025-05-04 22:55:56 | BITU | 80.0% | 0.51% |
| 2025-05-06 04:05:00 | SBIT | 72.0% | -2.86% |
| 2025-05-07 01:38:19 | BITU | 60.0% | -1.0% |
| 2025-05-08 01:42:22 | SBIT | 65.0% | -5.0% |
| 2025-05-09 03:07:30 | BITU | 82.0% | 0.24% |
| 2025-05-12 04:09:16 | NO POSITION | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-13 01:48:57 | BITU | 65.0% | 0.03% |
| 2025-05-14 02:41:16 | NO POSITION | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-15 01:13:21 | BITU | 55.0% | 0.72% |
| 2025-05-16 02:31:45 | BITU | 60.0% | 1.24% |
| 2025-05-19 04:20:54 | BITU | 55.0% | 3.68% |
| 2025-05-20 01:51:49 | BITU | 67.0% | 2.76% |
| 2025-05-22 03:49:13 | BITU | 82.0% | -0.48% |
| 2025-05-23 02:02:26 | BITU | 70.0% | 0.2% |
| 2025-05-25 13:12:42 | BITU | 70.0% | -1.24% |
| 2025-05-25 16:48:23 | BITU | 85.0% | -1.24% |
| 2025-05-28 02:01:53 | BITU | 70.0% | -3.56% |
| 2025-05-29 02:59:59 | NO POSITION | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-05-30 03:25:43 | BITU | 50.0% | -2.17% |
| 2025-06-01 01:06:32 | NO POSITION | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-06-04 04:47:59 | BITU | 70.0% | -0.12% |
| 2025-06-05 03:28:37 | BITU | 60.0% | -5.0% |
| 2025-06-06 01:51:25 | BITU | 50.0% | 0.38% |
| 2025-06-07 16:49:17 | NO POSITION | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 2025-06-12 23:54:25 | NO POSITION | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Intra-day ORB, 2.5% trailing stop-loss | TOTAL | -13.09% |
Leveraged Pair Trade
The Pair Trade investment trading strategy is used in this Machine Learning use case. Also known as Pairs Trade, two highly correlated securities are selected, matching a long position with a short position. It is a market neutral strategy, enabling traders to profit in all market conditions.
Two highly correlated ETFs are used:
- BITU: ProShares UltraPro® Bitcoin (the long position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times (2x) the daily performance of the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index®.
- SBIT: ProShares UltraPro® Short Bitcoin (the short position) seeks daily investment results that correspond to two times the inverse (-2x) of the daily performance of the Bloomberg Bitcoin Index®.
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“Use of TQQQ allows day traders to fully exploit the benefit of the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Day Trading Strategy. “
“The resulting portfolio would have earned an outstanding return of 1,484% during the same period of 2016 to 2023, while an investment in the QQQ ETF would have earned 169% annualized.”